Weibull Analysis Calculator

Calculate Weibull reliability with shape (β) and scale (η) parameters. Determine failure probability, reliability, and hazard rate at any time.

β<1 infant, β=1 random, β>1 wear
Characteristic life
Failure-free period
Evaluation time
e.g. B10 = 10%
%
For confidence bounds
Reliability R(t)
90.38%
Probability of surviving to t = 2,000
Failure Probability F(t)
9.62%
Cumulative failure probability
Hazard Rate h(t)
1.2649e-4
Classic Wear-Out (β > 2)
B10 Life
2,032.5
90% CI: [1,407.0, 2,936.2]
MTTF
4,436.3
Mean Time To Failure
Median Life
4,318.2
50% failure point
Failure Mode
Classic Wear-Out (β > 2)
β = 2.5
Reliability at t = 2,000
90.38%

Reliability Over Time

TimeReliability (%)Failure (%)Hazard RateReliability Bar
1,25096.92%3.08%6.250e-5
2,50083.80%16.20%1.768e-4
3,75061.44%38.56%3.248e-4
5,00036.79%63.21%5.000e-4
6,25017.43%82.57%6.988e-4
7,5006.36%93.64%9.186e-4
10,0000.35%99.65%1.414e-3
15,0000.00%100.00%2.598e-3
Planning notes, formulas, and examples

About the Weibull Analysis Calculator

The Weibull distribution is the most versatile reliability model in engineering. By adjusting its shape parameter (β, beta) and scale parameter (η, eta), it can model infant mortality (β < 1), random failures (β = 1, equivalent to exponential), and wear-out failures (β > 1).

Weibull analysis is used extensively for life data analysis: predicting product lifetime, planning warranty periods, scheduling preventive maintenance, and conducting accelerated life testing. The B-life concept (e.g., B10 = the time at which 10% of units have failed) is directly calculated from Weibull parameters.

This calculator takes the shape and scale parameters and computes the cumulative failure probability F(t), reliability R(t), hazard rate h(t), and B-life at any specified time t.

This measurement forms a critical foundation for capacity planning, helping teams align production capabilities with demand forecasts and strategic business objectives throughout the planning cycle. Integrating this calculation into regular operational reviews ensures that key decisions are grounded in current data rather than outdated assumptions or rough approximations from the past.

When This Page Helps

Weibull analysis models the full range of failure behaviors with just two parameters. It handles infant mortality, random failures, and wear-out in a single framework, making it the go-to model for lifecycle reliability engineering.

How to Use the Inputs

  1. Determine the Weibull shape (β) and scale (η) parameters from your life data or reliability model.
  2. Enter β and η into the calculator.
  3. Enter the time (t) at which you want to evaluate reliability.
  4. Optionally enter a B-life percentage (e.g., 10 for B10).
  5. Review F(t), R(t), h(t), and the B-life result.
  6. Use these outputs for warranty planning, maintenance scheduling, and design decisions.
Formula used
F(t) = 1 − e^(−(t/η)^β) R(t) = e^(−(t/η)^β) h(t) = (β/η) × (t/η)^(β−1) B-life: t_B = η × (−ln(1 − B/100))^(1/β) where β = shape, η = scale (characteristic life)

Example Calculation

Result: R(2000) = 87.7%, B10 = 2,085 hours

With β = 2.5 (wear-out pattern) and η = 5,000 hours: R(2000) = e^(−(2000/5000)^2.5) = 87.7%. B10 = 5000 × (−ln(0.90))^(1/2.5) = 2,085 hours — 10% of units fail by 2,085 hours.

Tips & Best Practices

  • β < 1 indicates infant mortality — consider burn-in or screening to eliminate early failures.
  • β = 1 indicates random failures (exponential distribution) — preventive maintenance won't help.
  • β > 1 indicates wear-out — preventive replacement before the wear-out region saves unplanned downtime.
  • η is the "characteristic life" — 63.2% of units fail by time η, regardless of β.
  • Use Weibull probability plots to graphically estimate β and η from failure data.
  • For warranty analysis, B1 or B2 life is more relevant than B10 — it tells when the first 1–2% fail.

Weibull and the Bathtub Curve

The bathtub curve is modeled by combining three Weibull distributions: β < 1 for infant mortality, β ≈ 1 for useful life, and β > 1 for wear-out. This composite Weibull model captures the full product lifecycle.

Weibull in Accelerated Testing

Accelerated life testing (ALT) uses elevated stress to induce failures faster. Weibull analysis of ALT data, combined with acceleration models, allows prediction of reliability at normal use conditions from short test durations.

Three-Parameter Weibull

The standard two-parameter Weibull assumes failures can occur from t = 0. A three-parameter version adds a location parameter (γ, threshold life) for products that cannot fail before a minimum time. This is useful for fatigue and wear mechanisms.

Sources & Methodology

Last updated:

Frequently Asked Questions

  • β indicates the failure pattern: β < 1 is infant mortality (decreasing failure rate), β = 1 is random (constant rate, exponential), β > 1 is wear-out (increasing rate). Typical mechanical wear-out has β = 2–5.